What is the REFERENCE (Ref.) or THEORETICAL AVERAGE?


RENTAP - "The only lottery predictive 
                system, LIVE, on the internet!!!"   


 

IMPORTANT:
RENTAP`s predictions can be used by all bettors. However, those bettors or syndicates who follow the predictions in a regular and assiduos basis increase their odds of being rewarded with more prizes! 



Many players have contacted us regarding the use and meaning of REFERENCE.
The REFERENCE is the "benchmark", the Theoretical Average, i.e., the average number of hits any bettor or a group of bettors must obtain, taking into account the amount of numbers submitted. If you submit 35 numbers (7 bets) you are more likely of getting more hits than if you bet only 15 numbers (3 bets). REFERENCE is therefore the fair value or the benchmark. 

Let`s see:

  • If a predictive model gets hits consistently above REFERENCE it increases our chances, so we are predicting; 
  • if a predictive model gets hitsconsistently below the REFERENCE we decrease our chances, but we are also predicting because, in this case,  we may bet against the model and pick the numbers out of the prediction; 
  • In practice, all common punters get, on average, results near the REFERENCE, which explains why is so difficult to predict.

So it is very, very difficult to get a positive ou negative edge, otherwise, the Lotteries would enter into bankruptcy. 
RENTAP, the mathematical model is the only known model able to continually overcome these basic values ​​or REFERENCE.


But how do we calculate the "fair value" of hits for each set of numbers submitted?
Let's illustrate with the famous game "heads or tails."

Any player (unless he knows a way to predict the output face of the coin) knows that, inevitably, the amount of hits he will get in the long run is 0.5 hits per round because he has two alternatives (heads or tail), but can only choose one of them: 1/2=0.5.

If any player obtains in the long run a value greater than 0.5 hits per round means that he can predict, in part, the side of the coin out and will benefit from this knowledge.


So, regarding EURO MILLIONS, if the player regularly submit 30 numbers (6 bets) for example, the number of hits he must expect to obtain is, on average, 3.000 per draw. 

This is the amount of hits obtained by INTUITION, ie, without using technical or mathematical knowledge and, ultimately, is practiced by the overwhelming majority of gamblers. 

Rather, RENTAP is a DEDUCTIVE model, which through MATHEMATICAL / STOCHASTIC processes seeks to determine before each draw which NUMBERS and LUCKY STARS are more likely of being drawn.

Thus, backing to the 30 numbers case RENTAP no longer obtains 3.000 hits per draw, but 3.130, representing an improvement of 4,3%. At first glance, this may seem insignificant, but actually is not. For regular punters it mean the difference between profit and loss after 1 year of bets, for example. Furthermore, to date is not known any other algorithm that can derive an improvement of 1%, even the more than 4%!
So, in summary, the REFERENCE intends to assess and measure the quality and performance of the prediction algorithm. If the algorithm's performance drops below REFERENCE to the same amount of numbers, then it means that this mathematical model is totally useless, ie, the bettor would get more hits choosing numbers "at random" than if he followed the predictions of the algorithm!

"What is important is that the model`s performance is superior to REFERENCE whatever amount of numbers placed. This increase is the BIG ADVANTAGE of RENTAP the model and, until now, we unaware the existence of a similar service or any other scientific method of prediction that puts itself to the test, weekly and "live" on the Internet!"


WHICH ARE THE REFERENCE VALUES IN EUROMILLIONS LOTTERY?

In MAIN NUMBERS:
REF.
(average amount of hits per draw achieved by the common bettor - “Reference” or Benchmark, or Theoretical Value)
0,500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
SET
5N
10N
15N
20N
25N
30N
35N

For instance: for 20N the REFERENCE is 1,872 hits per draw. So, if a predictive model gets more than 1,872 hits per draw, on average, it is able to predict and its followers who like to play 20 Numbers regularly are getting a edge;


In LUCKY STARS:
REF.
(average amount of hits per draw achieved by the common bettor - “Reference” or Benchmark, or Theoretical Value)
0,364
0,545
0,727
0,909
1,091
1,273
1,455
SET
2LS
3LS
4LS
5LS
6LS
7LS
8LS
For instance: for 6LS the REFERENCE is 1,091 hits per draw. So, if a predictive model gets more than 1,091 hits per draw, on average, it is able to predict and its followers who like to play 6 Lucky Stars regularly are getting a edge;


The REFERENCE or Theoretical Average is what equals the scientist and the illiterate, the literate and the illiterate, as death equals the rich and poor, the healthy and the sick.
. In fact , if a mathematician , or a lawyer , or engineer regularly bet 20N on EUROMILLIONS, for example, they will get about 2,000 hits per draw in the long run. However, if an illiterate or uneducated is doing so he will get also the same results. So, the intricacies of randomness are so complex that the fact that someone has a superior academic training, albeit on Mathematics and Statistics, does not guarantee for him any advantage over another that is completely illiterate or uneducated .
In conclusion, luck is like death: all equals - regardless of their status and condition -
 and hits according to criteria that only it completely understands.

RENTAP understands only a little more than other gamblers about this profound mystery of randomness.

NEGATIVE Var...IS NOT SO BAD!!!
Wherever possible RENTAP undertake changes in algorithms in order to produce the best possible predictions. In any case, it is possible that during periods of weeks or even months after that changing, algorithms exhibit negative performance in some "sets".
We recall that a bad prediction algorithm is one that, in the long run, has a 0% of Var. This means that the player does not have any advantage in following its predictions. 
Therefore, and contrary to what most assume a negative performance can enable us to continue to win cash and prizes in Euromillions.
So those bettors who wish to optimize their strategy should choose the BEST POSITIVE Var and / or the WORST NEGATIVE Var.
In the 1st case bettors must wager the numbers of the respective set; in the 2nd case they should bet the numbers that were out of that prediction set.

CONTACT US/DONATIONS
RENTAP do not charge any taxes or fees in SINGLE bets. So, if you are a regular RENTAP follower and you are winning prizes on EUROMILLIONS thanks to RENTAP forecasts and you think we deserve a DONATION/CONTRIBUTION, please use the "paypal" account inforentap@gmail.com or contact us by e-mail.

Contact us at inforentap@gmail.com:

  • to make a DONATION/CONTRIBUTION
  • to get more information about the RENTAP model;
  • to request other SINGLE forecasts;
  • to request the MULTIPLE forecasts (6N, 7N, 8N, 9N and 11N)

"Don`t you know which numbers to pick in EUROMILLIONS?
Don`t break your mind! RENTAP picks the numbers for you and they come with a bonus: if you follow the forecasts regularly in time, you will get more hits than if you had picked them by your own!
And more hits mean more prizes!"





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